Macro Forum: The Street View
NIGERIA MACRO INSIGHTS
The Nigerian economy is projected to gather pace throughout 2020, with stronger consumption largely due to the full implementation of a 60% minimum wage increase, alongside stable oil production and prices. Fiscal policy is expected to add to growth, with the government passing a record NGN 10.3 trillion (c.US$28 billion) 2020 budget in December. At its first meeting of the year in January, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) decided to hold interest rates at 13.5% despite inflation reaching a 20-month high of 12.0%, due to food price rises following the closing of land borders in August 2019. The CBN is seeking to manage inflation by increasing loan-to-deposit ratios, citing the importance of not adding pressure to consumers. The medium-term outlook remains relatively fragile, with high unemployment, double digit inflation, and a return to international capital markets to finance the 2020 budget, expected to be focus areas for foreign direct investors.
|Q2 2019||Q3 2019||Q4 2019||Q1 2020||Q2 2020|
* Year on Year
Real GDP Growth
Nigeria FX vs FV
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